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Books I Love

Political Science / Strategy

The Dictator's Handbook

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita & Alastair Smith

The most cynical book I've ever found surprisingly useful. It reframes politics, companies, and institutions as incentive systems where survival often matters more than ideals

Risk & Strategy

The Black Swan

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

A reset on how to think about uncertainty. In fat-tailed systems, averages are misleading and risk is dominated by rare events. Came for the probability theory, stayed for the expert-bashing sarcasm

Philosophy

Antifragile

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Extends the Black Swan thesis: the best systems don't just withstand volatility--they gain from it. A mental model for building businesses, careers, and decisions that improve when the unexpected happens

Decision Science

Thinking in Bets

Annie Duke

Good decisions can have bad outcomes and bad decisions can have good outcomes. The goal is to improve the process, not get fooled by short-term results

Game Theory / AI

Algorithmic Game Theory

Noam Nisan et al.

Made me realize that markets are really incentive machines. Every rule creates a strategy, every strategy creates an edge, and every edge eventually gets competed away

Geopolitics / Tech

Chip War

Chris Miller

A reminder that the digital world still runs on atoms. The most important technology industry in the world depends on an absurdly fragile chain of factories, materials, and geopolitics

Philosophy / Strategy

Finite and Infinite Games

James P. Carse

The book behind one of my favorite mental models. Some games are played to win. The interesting ones are played to keep playing

AI Safety

Superintelligence

Nick Bostrom

Whether you agree with every argument or not, it's hard to leave this book without taking advanced AI more seriously

AI Safety / Ethics

The Alignment Problem

Brian Christian

Came for the machine learning, stayed for the philosophy of human values

Hard Sci-Fi

The Three-Body Problem

Cixin Liu

The only book that has genuinely made space feel terrifying. Came for the physics, stayed for the Dark Forest

Hard Sci-Fi

Permutation City

Greg Egan

Came for the digital immortality, stayed for the ontological crisis

Finance / Math

Fortune's Formula

William Poundstone

Edge without sizing is meaningless. If I had to compress risk management into a single lesson, this would be it

Systems / Performance

Systems Performance

Brendan Gregg

I can't say I loved reading it..., but I learned a lot from it. A masterclass in figuring out why systems behave differently from how you think they do

Forecasting / Decision Science

Superforecasting

Philip Tetlock & Dan Gardner

Forecasting turns out to be less about genius and more about habits: updating beliefs, staying calibrated, and admitting you're wrong faster than everyone else

Market Microstructure

Trading and Exchanges

Larry Harris

Dry as hell, but incredibly useful. It made markets feel less like magic and more like a bunch of rules, queues, spreads, and people trying not to get run over

Market Structure

Dark Pools

Scott Patterson

A fun rabbit hole into how weird modern markets actually are. Humans yelling in pits got replaced by machines fighting over milliseconds, routing, hidden liquidity, and tiny structural edges