Books I Love

Foundational books on risk, strategy, decision-making, and intelligence.

Finance / Math

Fortune's Formula

William Poundstone

The foundational math of survival: knowing exactly how much to bet when you actually have an edge.

Kelly Criterion Math Finance
Risk & Strategy

The Black Swan

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The fundamental reminder that in fat-tailed domains, average is a dangerous fiction.

Risk Probability Survival
Philosophy

Antifragile

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The blueprint for building execution systems that treat volatility as a fuel source rather than a risk factor.

Complexity Resilience Systems
Decision Science

Thinking in Bets

Annie Duke

The discipline of decoupling the quality of process from the noise of outcome.

Rationality Poker Decision Making
Game Theory / AI

Algorithmic Game Theory

Noam Nisan et al.

The owner's manual for an economy where the primary actors are no longer human, but adversarial agents.

Mechanism Design Math AI
Political Science / Strategy

The Dictator's Handbook

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita & Alastair Smith

The operating manual for political survival. It models governance as a cold optimization problem: minimize winning coalition, maximize revenue, and ignore rest.

Strategy Power Systems
Geopolitics / Tech

Chip War

Chris Miller

Essential context for physical constraints and geopolitical bottlenecks that govern the seemingly infinite world of compute.

Hardware Geopolitics Strategy
Philosophy / Strategy

Finite and Infinite Games

James P. Carse

A masterclass in strategic meta-thinking: the goal is not to win the trade, but to ensure you are still in the game tomorrow.

Meta-Strategy Systems Thinking Philosophy
AI Safety

Superintelligence

Nick Bostrom

The definitive case for why the control problem is the only engineering challenge that actually matters in the long run.

Alignment X-Risk Strategy
AI Safety / Ethics

The Alignment Problem

Brian Christian

A sobering look at the technical debt we accrue when we optimize for the wrong proxies.

Alignment Ethics AI
History / Future

Homo Deus

Yuval Noah Harari

A necessary map for understanding the transition from human-centric systems to data-centric dominance.

AI Future Sociology
Hard Sci-Fi

Permutation City

Greg Egan

A haunting exploration of what happens to the concept of self when consciousness becomes just another substrate for computation.

Simulation Digital Philosophy
Hard Sci-Fi / Game Theory

The Three-Body Problem

Cixin Liu

A staggering work of hard sci-fi that transforms the Fermi paradox into a survival horror. It introduces the 'Dark Forest': a universe where every civilization is a silent hunter, and any signal sent into the void is a suicide note.

X-Risk Game Theory Cosmic Horror